population
Projected population change by age in the Greater West of England, 2022-2047
This data insight describes projected changes in the resident population of the Greater West of England by age group between 2022 and 2047. It uses subnational population projections to show how population levels are projected to change across broad age groups over the short and longer term.
The Greater West of England is a bespoke geography defined here as Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, Gloucestershire, North Somerset, South Gloucestershire, Swindon, and Wiltshire.
The analysis presents projected population change by age group over two main periods, from 2022-2032 and from 2032-2047. It also shows projected changes over consecutive five-year periods between 2022 and 2047, and compares projected percentage changes in the Greater West of England with England.
Population projections are trend-based and show what the population would be if recent demographic trends were to continue. They are not forecasts and do not account for future policy changes or unexpected events.
439,456
Projected increase in the resident population of the Greater West of England, 2022-2047
103,045
Projected increase in the population aged 75 and over in the Greater West of England, 2032-2047
-34,595
Projected change in the population aged 0 to 15 in the Greater West of England, 2022-2032
65.71%
Projected percentage increase in the population aged 75 and over in the Greater West of England, 2022-2047
Projected population change by age group in the Greater West of England, 2022 to 2032 and 2032 to 2047
This visualisation shows projected changes in the resident population of the Greater West of England by broad age group over two projection periods, from 2022-2032 and 2032-2047.
Between 2022 and 2032, projected population change varies across age groups. Increases are projected for people aged 16 to 24 (41,092), 25 to 34 (32,804), 35 to 44 (58,062), 45 to 54 (15,760), 65 to 74 (52,194), and 75 and over (60,640). Over the same period, decreases are projected for people aged 0 to 15 (-34,595) and 55 to 64 (-14,552).
Between 2032 and 2047, the largest projected increases are for people aged 75 and over (103,045), 45 to 54 (59,563) and 35 to 44 (41,539). Decreases over this period are projected for people aged 16 to 24 (-39,813), 65 to 74 (-15,306) and 25 to 34 (-15,338).
Figures reflect projected changes in resident population counts and are based on subnational population projections.
Projected population change by age group in the Greater West of England, five-year periods from 2022 to 2047
This visualisation shows projected population change by age group in the Greater West of England across consecutive five-year periods between 2022 and 2047.
Between 2022 and 2027, projected increases are largest among people aged 35 to 44 (36,026), 16 to 24 (29,738), and 75 and over (34,811). Over the same period, the population aged 0 to 15 is projected to decrease by 16,446.
Between 2027 and 2032, increases are projected for people aged 45 to 54 (23,896), 65 to 74 (35,448), and 75 and over (25,829), while decreases are projected for people aged 0 to 15 (-18,149) and 55 to 64 (-24,713).
In later periods, projected population change continues to vary by age group. Between 2037 and 2042, increases are projected for people aged 75 and over (40,281) and 55 to 64 (23,234), while a decrease is projected for people aged 65 to 74 (-20,816).
This visualisation allows users to compare projected age-specific population change across different five-year periods between 2022 and 2047.
Projected percentage change in population by age group in the Greater West of England and England, 2022 to 2032 and 2022 to 2047
This visualisation compares projected percentage changes in population by age group for the Greater West of England and England over the periods 2022-2032 and 2022-2047.
Between 2022 and 2032, projected percentage increases are recorded across most age groups in both geographies. In the Greater West of England, the largest projected increases are for people aged 75 and over (24.34%) and 65 to 74 (20.52%). Comparable projected increases for England are 21.41% for people aged 75 and over, and 20.08% for people aged 65 to 74.
Between 2022 and 2047, projected percentage change is highest among older age groups. In the Greater West of England, the population aged 75 and over is projected to increase by 65.71%, compared with 61.94% in England. Projected increases are also recorded for people aged 35 to 44 and 45 to 54 in both geographies.
Projected decreases between 2022 and 2047 are recorded for people aged 0 to 15 in both the Greater West of England and England.
Figures reflect projected percentage changes and are based on subnational population projections.
